Politics · Ukraine & RussiaGeopoliticsRussia Enter Group
Question
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?
Live
Yes
3.8 % chance
No
96.2 % chance
$97.03
4
Trading opened May 11, 2026 20:05 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31? → all 8 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 3.8 %chance
- Yes 3.8¢ · No 96.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
8.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.8¢
Yes price now
4.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
7
Smart money
3
Top holders
- de…esNo2,500
- Or…usNo2,094
- Du…MFNo1,996
- as…q3Yes3,839
- Bl…erNo1,255
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