Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on November 14?

Live · started Nov 12 05:56 UTC

Yes

0.1 % chance

99.9 % chance

$547.49

Trading opened Nov 12, 2026 05:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 14, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 14? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

5 wallets hold $50 or more here. None of them has a positive Weather record.

Every holder, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

0.1 %chance
Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢

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