Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on November 15?

Live · started Nov 13 09:56 UTC

Yes

57.5 % chance

42.5 % chance

$1.3K

Trading opened Nov 13, 2026 09:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 15, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in San Francisco on November 15? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

11 wallets hold $50 or more here. 6 of them have a positive Weather record.

On Yes

4 wallets

Staked: $397
Avg paid: 30.1¢
Now: 57.5¢

On No

2 wallets

Staked: $161
Avg paid: 69.2¢
Now: 42.5¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

Wr…ee$60 @ 31.7¢+$49
Weather +8.0¢ · 513 settled · 14 dLifetime +$21.1K · 13,843 settled
Z…3$75 @ 26.3¢+$89
Weather +5.3¢ · 271 settled · 14 dLifetime +$3.4K · 2,753 settled
Anonymous$208 @ 26.1¢+$250
Weather +3.1¢ · 639 settled · 14 dLifetime +$64.8K · 1,811 settled

cr…41$84 @ 69.7¢−$33
Weather +1.6¢ · 193 settled · 14 dLifetime −$2.2K · 10,121 settled
Bl…te$78 @ 68.6¢−$30
Weather +0.8¢ · 3,247 settled · 14 dLifetime +$47.2K · 33,960 settled

All 6, by name:

Create a free account

Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

57.5 %chance
Yes 57.5¢ · No 42.5¢

1D · All: Loading…

Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.