Weather · EarthquakesHow many 7.0 or above earthquakes
Question
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Live
Yes
4.0 % chance
No
96.0 % chance
$0.50
2
Trading opened Dec 31, 2025 17:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 8, 2027 04:59 UTC
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026? → all 7 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 4.0 %chance
- Yes 4.0¢ · No 96.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
24.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
4.0¢
Yes price now
21.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
1
Smart money
0
Top holders
- go…n2Yes3,897
- 0x…12Yes2,824
- in…thNo1,482
- El…llNo840.8
- Sn…teYes1,627
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