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Weather · San FranciscoSan Francisco Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on November 15?

Live · started Nov 13 09:56 UTC

Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$330.23
12

Trading opened Nov 13, 2026 09:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 15, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in San Francisco on November 15? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

5 wallets hold $10 or more here. 2 of them have a positive Weather record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $50 or more, so the list starts at $10.

On Yes
0 wallets
Staked
$0
Avg paid
—
Now
0.1¢
On No
2 wallets
Staked
$40
Avg paid
99.6¢
Now
99.9¢
Wallets
Dollars
Yes

Nobody on this side in this list.

No
  • ba…ar$20 @ 99.3¢$0
    Weather +5.5¢ · 629 settled · 14 dLifetime +$438.9K · 52,222 settled
  • mu…er$20 @ 99.9¢$0
    Weather +1.4¢ · 291 settled · 14 dLifetime +$23.8K · 3,388 settled

All 2, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.1 %chance
  • Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on November 15?: price, holders and their record · Polyrank