Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 18% or more?

Live

Yes

0.1 % chance

99.9 % chance

$92.91

Trading opened Aug 7, 2026 14:11 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

AZ-02 House Election Margin of Victory → all 13 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

0.1 %chance
Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢

1D · All: Loading…

Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

2.1¢

Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)

0.1¢

Yes price now

2.1¢

Holders paid above the current price

24h fills

Tagged holders

Top holders

pr…tyNo93
Lu…ysNo54.5
gr…19No38
Ad…stNo29
A…2No25

See who's really positioned here

The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart and the market's fills come with Pro Trader. A free account opens the largest holders of each side and the market's stats.

Create a free account

Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.