World · Middle EastIsrael military action against Lebanon
Question
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 18?
Live
Yes
65.5 % chance
No
34.5 % chance
$91.38
10
Trading opened Nov 5, 2026 15:04 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 19, 2026 04:59 UTC
Israel military action against Lebanon on...? → all 25 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 65.5 %chance
- Yes 65.5¢ · No 34.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
77.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
65.5¢
Yes price now
11.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
16
Smart money
9
Top holders
- xt…meNo84.1
- su…hxYes20.1
- Be…ouYes20
- aw…f4Yes20
- Ha…thYes20
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