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World · Global elections

Question

Will Ofer Winter receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?

Live

Yes
0.5 % chance
No
99.5 % chance
$394.28
14

Trading opened Nov 7, 2026 00:15 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

Who will receive the second mandate to form Israel's next government? → all 102 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.5 %chance
  • Yes 0.5¢ · No 99.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

1.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.5¢
Yes price now
0.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
19
Tagged holders
12

Top holders

  • Lu…ysNo177.1
  • ci…esNo59.4
  • Th…enNo55.2
  • Ex…anNo30.4
  • Sp…atNo23.4

See who's really positioned here

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Will Ofer Winter receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank