Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 14?

Live · started Nov 12 05:56 UTC

Yes

0.1 % chance

99.9 % chance

$2.5K

Trading opened Nov 12, 2026 05:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 14, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 14? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

5 wallets hold $50 or more here. 3 of them have a positive Weather record.

On Yes

0 wallets

Staked: $0
Avg paid: —
Now: 0.1¢

On No

3 wallets

Staked: $287
Avg paid: 98.3¢
Now: 100.0¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

Nobody on this side in this list.

0x…BB$98 @ 97.1¢+$3
Weather +1.3¢ · 1,612 settled · 14 dLifetime +$14.2K · 44,210 settled
24…32$58 @ 97.3¢+$2
Weather +0.6¢ · 4,635 settled · 14 dLifetime +$25.5K · 11,644 settled
qi…li$131 @ 99.6¢+$1
Weather +0.2¢ · 35 settled · 90 dLifetime −$285 · 202 settled

All 3, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

0.1 %chance
Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢

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