Weather · EarthquakesHow many 7.0 or above earthquakes
Question
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Live
Yes
53.5 % chance
No
46.5 % chance
$18.5K
7
Trading opened Dec 31, 2025 17:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 8, 2027 04:59 UTC
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026? → all 7 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 53.5 %chance
- Yes 53.5¢ · No 46.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
34.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
54.0¢
Yes price now
20.0¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
8
Smart money
2
Top holders
- he…ngNo19,000
- di…ngNo15,800
- la…xxYes14,000
- sh…eyYes11,400
- am…unYes9,400
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