Politics · Ukraine & RussiaTrump
Question
Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by November 15, 2026?
Live
Yes
7.5 % chance
No
92.5 % chance
$9.7K
49
Trading opened Nov 11, 2026 00:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 15, 2026 21:59 UTC
Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by...? → all 3 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 7.5 %chance
- Yes 7.5¢ · No 92.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
21.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
7.5¢
Yes price now
14.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
81
Tagged holders
41
Top holders
- Vo…77No2,350
- Hu…buNo1,617
- Ca…ilNo1,201
- Me…bsYes2,753
- Ai…rdYes3,000
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