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Politics · US electionsSpeaker

Question

Will Pete Aguilar be the next House Majority Leader?

Live

Yes
2.5 % chance
No
97.5 % chance
$975.47
15

Trading opened Nov 2, 2026 21:06 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 3, 2027 00:00 UTC

House Majority Leader of the next Congress? → all 26 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 2.5 %chance
  • Yes 2.5¢ · No 97.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

1.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.5¢
Yes price now
0.7¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
18
Tagged holders
13

Top holders

  • Vi…axNo307.5
  • ci…esNo180
  • Lu…ysNo156
  • ba…arNo140.1
  • ta…thYes1,099

See who's really positioned here

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Will Pete Aguilar be the next House Majority Leader? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank