Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on November 14?

Live · started Nov 12 05:58 UTC

Yes

0.1 % chance

99.9 % chance

$1.2K

Trading opened Nov 12, 2026 05:59 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 14, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Manila on November 14? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 03:59 UTC

16 wallets hold $10 or more here. 6 of them have a positive Weather record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $50 or more, so the list starts at $10.

On Yes

0 wallets

Staked: $0
Avg paid: —
Now: 0.1¢

On No

6 wallets

Staked: $100
Avg paid: 99.5¢
Now: 100.0¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

Nobody on this side in this list.

ba…ar$14 @ 98.9¢$0
Weather +5.5¢ · 629 settled · 14 dLifetime +$438.9K · 52,222 settled
gh…ck$11 @ 98.8¢$0
Weather +2.1¢ · 6,530 settled · 14 dLifetime −$3.0K · 77,980 settled
mu…er$20 @ 99.6¢$0
Weather +1.4¢ · 291 settled · 14 dLifetime +$23.8K · 3,388 settled

All 6, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

0.1 %chance
Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢

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