Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?
Live
Yes
0.3 % chance
No
99.7 % chance
$23.26
2
Trading opened Aug 5, 2026 20:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Nevada Governor Election Margin of Victory → all 12 questions
Who holds this, and their record
as of 02:15 UTC10 wallets hold $50 or more here. 6 of them have a positive Politics record.
On Yes
1 wallet
- Staked
- $130
- Avg paid
- 11.1¢
- Now
- 0.3¢
On No
5 wallets
- Staked
- $1.6K
- Avg paid
- 87.8¢
- Now
- 99.7¢
Wallets
Dollars
Yes
- Co…it$130 @ 11.1¢−$126Politics +1.9¢ · 382 settled · 14 dLifetime +$470.6K · 474 settled
No
- me…48$96 @ 80.4¢+$23Politics +1.6¢ · 311 settled · 14 dLifetime +$167.0K · 24,600 settled
- Ha…th$351 @ 84.5¢+$63Politics +0.4¢ · 2,528 settled · 14 dLifetime −$399.0K · 120,702 settled
- gr…19$88 @ 84.0¢+$16Politics +0.4¢ · 382 settled · 14 dLifetime +$7.4K · 35,720 settled
All 6, by name:
Create a free accountMeasured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Politics record beat the price paid by 1.36¢ a share (others −0.23¢; 74,448 positions). Their side has not beaten the price (3,821 markets). How we measured
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.3 %chance
- Yes 0.3¢ · No 99.7¢
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