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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?

Live

Yes
0.3 % chance
No
99.7 % chance
$23.26
2

Trading opened Aug 5, 2026 20:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Nevada Governor Election Margin of Victory → all 12 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

10 wallets hold $50 or more here. 6 of them have a positive Politics record.

On Yes
1 wallet
Staked
$130
Avg paid
11.1¢
Now
0.3¢
On No
5 wallets
Staked
$1.6K
Avg paid
87.8¢
Now
99.7¢
Wallets
Dollars
Yes
  • Co…it$130 @ 11.1¢−$126
    Politics +1.9¢ · 382 settled · 14 dLifetime +$470.6K · 474 settled
No
  • me…48$96 @ 80.4¢+$23
    Politics +1.6¢ · 311 settled · 14 dLifetime +$167.0K · 24,600 settled
  • Ha…th$351 @ 84.5¢+$63
    Politics +0.4¢ · 2,528 settled · 14 dLifetime −$399.0K · 120,702 settled
  • gr…19$88 @ 84.0¢+$16
    Politics +0.4¢ · 382 settled · 14 dLifetime +$7.4K · 35,720 settled

All 6, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Politics record beat the price paid by 1.36¢ a share (others −0.23¢; 74,448 positions). Their side has not beaten the price (3,821 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.3 %chance
  • Yes 0.3¢ · No 99.7¢
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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?: price, holders and their record · Polyrank