World · Middle EastIsrael military action against Lebanon
Question
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 6?
Live
Yes
50.5 % chance
No
49.5 % chance
$420.04
22
Trading opened Nov 5, 2026 15:04 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 7, 2026 04:59 UTC
Israel military action against Lebanon on...? → all 25 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 50.5 %chance
- Yes 50.5¢ · No 49.5¢
Loading the price chart…
- 1D · All: Loading…
Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
69.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
50.5¢
Yes price now
19.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
33
Smart money
14
Top holders
- Go…seNo169.4
- To…owYes97.5
- xt…meYes49.4
- sp…stYes32.7
- Bo…05Yes23.7
See who's really positioned here
The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.
Create account to unlockNot affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.
Loading market…