Will Anthropic have the best AI model on December 15, 2026?

Live

Yes

17.0 % chance

83.0 % chance

$612.34

Trading opened Nov 11, 2026 01:20 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 16, 2026 04:59 UTC

Which company has the best AI model on December 15? → all 35 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

10 wallets hold $50 or more here. 6 of them have a positive Tech record.

On Yes

1 wallet

Staked: $59
Avg paid: 17.4¢
Now: 17.0¢

On No

5 wallets

Staked: $579
Avg paid: 86.8¢
Now: 83.0¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

11…61$59 @ 17.4¢−$1
Tech +4.4¢ · 417 settled · 14 dLifetime +$53.0K · 2,825 settled

xt…me$52 @ 85.7¢−$2
Tech +5.2¢ · 972 settled · 14 dLifetime +$351.2K · 129,548 settled
ci…es$105 @ 87.7¢−$6
Tech +2.9¢ · 417 settled · 14 dLifetime −$500.0K · 188,445 settled
ba…ar$247 @ 86.3¢−$9
Tech +2.9¢ · 258 settled · 14 dLifetime +$438.9K · 52,222 settled

All 6, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Tech record beat the price paid by 2.13¢ a share (others −1.28¢; 15,876 positions). Their side has not beaten the price (1,308 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

17.0 %chance
Yes 17.0¢ · No 83.0¢

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