Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?

Live · started Nov 11 05:29 UTC

Yes

0.3 % chance

99.7 % chance

$1.9K

Trading opened Nov 11, 2026 05:29 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 13, 2026 12:00 UTC

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on November 13? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

11 wallets hold $50 or more here. 5 of them have a positive Weather record.

On Yes

2 wallets

Staked: $510
Avg paid: 63.3¢
Now: 0.3¢

On No

3 wallets

Staked: $226
Avg paid: 68.9¢
Now: 99.7¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

T…u$446 @ 70.8¢−$444
Weather +3.1¢ · 79 settled · 14 dLifetime +$998 · 188 settled
Bi…ry$64 @ 11.6¢−$62
Weather +2.8¢ · 1,597 settled · 14 dLifetime +$72.5K · 13,372 settled

ye…pp$115 @ 87.5¢+$16
Weather +2.7¢ · 213 settled · 14 dLifetime +$1.4K · 1,023 settled
mu…er$54 @ 56.1¢+$42
Weather +1.4¢ · 291 settled · 14 dLifetime +$23.8K · 3,388 settled
0x…BB$57 @ 43.7¢+$73
Weather +1.3¢ · 1,612 settled · 14 dLifetime +$14.2K · 44,210 settled

All 5, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

0.3 %chance
Yes 0.3¢ · No 99.7¢

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