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World · Middle EastIsrael military action against Lebanon

Question

Israel military action against Lebanon on November 20?

Live

Yes
72.0 % chance
No
28.0 % chance
$9.00
2

Trading opened Nov 5, 2026 15:04 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 21, 2026 04:59 UTC

Israel military action against Lebanon on...? → all 25 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 72.0 %chance
  • Yes 72.0¢ · No 28.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

79.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
72.0¢
Yes price now
7.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
2
Smart money
1

Top holders

  • xt…meNo40
  • ka…esYes20
  • fe…noYes20

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Israel military action against Lebanon on November 20? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank