Politics · Economy & the FedFed Rates
Question
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?
Live
Yes
0.3 % chance
No
99.7 % chance
$371.71
10
Trading opened Jan 12, 2026 17:46 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? → all 15 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.3 %chance
- Yes 0.3¢ · No 99.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
1.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.3¢
Yes price now
1.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
18
Smart money
8
Top holders
- cr…h2No4,035
- in…thNo1,995
- Ho…ssNo543.7
- go…26No484
- Vi…axNo475.4
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