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Weather · ChicagoChicago Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on November 14?

Live · started Nov 12 07:56 UTC

Yes
0.2 % chance
No
99.8 % chance
$560.46
16

Trading opened Nov 12, 2026 07:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 14, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Chicago on November 14? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

9 wallets hold $10 or more here. 3 of them have a positive Weather record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $50 or more, so the list starts at $10.

On Yes
0 wallets
Staked
$0
Avg paid
—
Now
0.2¢
On No
3 wallets
Staked
$70
Avg paid
99.7¢
Now
99.8¢
Wallets
Dollars
Yes

Nobody on this side in this list.

No
  • mu…er$20 @ 99.6¢$0
    Weather +1.4¢ · 291 settled · 14 dLifetime +$23.8K · 3,388 settled
  • ha…ay$30 @ 99.7¢$0
    Weather +1.0¢ · 994 settled · 14 dLifetime −$765 · 8,273 settled
  • ci…es$20 @ 99.7¢$0
    Weather +0.9¢ · 2,212 settled · 14 dLifetime −$500.0K · 188,445 settled

All 3, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.2 %chance
  • Yes 0.2¢ · No 99.8¢
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