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Politics · TrumpHoward Lutnick out

Question

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Live

Yes
46.5 % chance
No
53.5 % chance
$22.6K
69

Trading opened Mar 31, 2026 20:17 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? → all 3 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 46.5 %chance
  • Yes 46.5¢ · No 53.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

36.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
46.5¢
Yes price now
10.4¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
165
Tagged holders
53

Top holders

  • an…23No15,558
  • gu…ipYes13,940
  • fl…efNo4,454
  • St…ngNo4,135
  • Me…26No4,521

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Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank