Politics · Middle EastIran
Question
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Live
Yes
13.5 % chance
No
86.5 % chance
$23.3K
26
Trading opened Jun 26, 2026 19:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 13.5 %chance
- Yes 13.5¢ · No 86.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
27.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
13.5¢
Yes price now
14.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
43
Smart money
15
Top holders
- Th…MANo481,672
- pi…liNo135,515
- wa…23Yes278,312
- sh…ngYes86,081
- de…zzYes56,175
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