Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?

Yes

0.4 % chance

99.6 % chance

$0.00

Trading opened Aug 5, 2026 20:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Nevada Governor Election Margin of Victory → all 12 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

9 wallets hold $50 or more here. 4 of them have a positive Politics record.

On Yes

1 wallet

Staked: $72
Avg paid: 3.1¢
Now: 0.4¢

On No

3 wallets

Staked: $348
Avg paid: 80.0¢
Now: 99.7¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

Co…it$72 @ 3.1¢−$64
Politics +1.9¢ · 382 settled · 14 dLifetime +$470.6K · 474 settled

sh…oo$167 @ 78.9¢+$44
Politics +2.2¢ · 203 settled · 14 dLifetime +$64.4K · 24,431 settled
mi…27$70 @ 82.5¢+$15
Politics +0.7¢ · 443 settled · 14 dLifetime +$19.7K · 21,554 settled
Lu…ys$111 @ 80.0¢+$27
Politics +0.4¢ · 162 settled · 14 dLifetime +$27.3K · 3,404 settled

All 4, by name:

Create a free account

Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Politics record beat the price paid by 1.36¢ a share (others −0.23¢; 74,448 positions). Their side has not beaten the price (3,821 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

0.4 %chance
Yes 0.4¢ · No 99.6¢

1D · All: Loading…

Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.