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Politics · US electionsTrumpRepublican House seats

Question

Will the Republican Party hold below 170 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Live

Yes
0.7 % chance
No
99.3 % chance
$234.47
9

Trading opened Oct 23, 2026 20:29 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? (Lower Brackets) → all 6 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.7 %chance
  • Yes 0.7¢ · No 99.3¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

11.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.7¢
Yes price now
10.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
11
Smart money
6

Top holders

  • Su…zaNo899.9
  • ba…arNo408.2
  • Bl…stNo290.6
  • Lu…ysNo253.3
  • sm…ptNo225

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Will the Republican Party hold below 170 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank