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Finance · Central banks & ratesECB Interest Rates

Question

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?

Live

Yes
0.3 % chance
No
99.7 % chance
$2.5K
11

Trading opened Sep 14, 2026 22:13 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 17, 2026 11:59 UTC

ECB Interest Rates: December 2026 → all 5 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.3 %chance
  • Yes 0.3¢ · No 99.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

1.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.3¢
Yes price now
0.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
12
Tagged holders
10

Top holders

  • Lu…ysNo1,344
  • qu…elNo760.9
  • A…2No638
  • Ad…stNo508
  • Ju…reNo397.1

See who's really positioned here

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Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank