Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?

Yes

97.4 % chance

2.6 % chance

$0.00

Trading opened Aug 5, 2026 20:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Nevada Governor Election Margin of Victory → all 12 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

18 wallets hold $50 or more here. 11 of them have a positive Politics record.

On Yes

5 wallets

Staked: $3.4K
Avg paid: 92.1¢
Now: 97.4¢

On No

6 wallets

Staked: $870
Avg paid: 71.5¢
Now: 2.6¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

sh…oo$133 @ 16.9¢+$633
Politics +2.2¢ · 203 settled · 14 dLifetime +$64.4K · 24,431 settled
Tr…go$2.6K @ 97.9¢−$15
Politics +2.1¢ · 115 settled · 14 dLifetime +$29.9K · 687 settled
He…is$53 @ 26.3¢+$144
Politics +1.5¢ · 366 settled · 14 dLifetime +$258.3K · 9,263 settled

xt…me$298 @ 47.7¢−$282
Politics +3.0¢ · 4,068 settled · 14 dLifetime +$351.2K · 129,548 settled
p…e$249 @ 84.0¢−$242
Politics +2.3¢ · 185 settled · 14 dLifetime −$15.4K · 1,494 settled
Co…it$80 @ 79.9¢−$77
Politics +1.9¢ · 382 settled · 14 dLifetime +$470.6K · 474 settled

All 11, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Politics record beat the price paid by 1.36¢ a share (others −0.23¢; 74,448 positions). Their side has not beaten the price (3,821 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

97.4 %chance
Yes 97.4¢ · No 2.6¢

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