World · Middle EastIsrael military action against Lebanon
Question
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 29?
Live
Yes
74.0 % chance
No
26.0 % chance
$291.92
14
Trading opened Nov 5, 2026 15:04 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 30, 2026 04:59 UTC
Israel military action against Lebanon on...? → all 25 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 74.0 %chance
- Yes 74.0¢ · No 26.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
58.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
74.0¢
Yes price now
15.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
18
Smart money
12
Top holders
- co…erYes176.9
- re…00Yes84.7
- ve…erNo88.1
- Ha…thNo81.9
- xt…meNo58.5
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