Politics · US elections
Question
Newsom's Democratic nomination odds dip to 8% by December 31?
Live
Yes
24.5 % chance
No
75.5 % chance
$170.23
5
Trading opened Nov 10, 2026 01:01 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Newsom's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 24.5 %chance
- Yes 24.5¢ · No 75.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
43.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
24.5¢
Yes price now
18.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
4
Tagged holders
3
Top holders
- 17…12No145.2
- Te…s7No100
- pu…daYes58
- AnonymousYes40
- pr…vgYes20
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