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Finance · Central banks & ratesECB Interest Rates

Question

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?

Live

Yes
0.8 % chance
No
99.2 % chance
$2.8K
14

Trading opened Sep 14, 2026 22:13 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 17, 2026 11:59 UTC

ECB Interest Rates: December 2026 → all 5 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.8 %chance
  • Yes 0.8¢ · No 99.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

2.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.8¢
Yes price now
1.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
15
Tagged holders
12

Top holders

  • Lu…ysNo1,360
  • ha…ayNo690.9
  • q…3No638
  • ba…arNo543.5
  • Ad…stNo508

See who's really positioned here

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Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank