Politics · Economy & the FedFed Rates
Question
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?
Live
Yes
0.4 % chance
No
99.6 % chance
$323.75
9
Trading opened Jan 12, 2026 17:46 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? → all 15 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.4 %chance
- Yes 0.4¢ · No 99.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
2.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.4¢
Yes price now
1.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
15
Smart money
8
Top holders
- in…thNo2,044
- Ar…lyNo1,057
- ba…arNo958.5
- ra…esNo1,200
- Be…boYes3,748
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