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Weather · ManilaManila Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on November 14?

Live · started Nov 12 05:58 UTC

Yes
3.6 % chance
No
96.4 % chance
$486.12
44

Trading opened Nov 12, 2026 05:59 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 14, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Manila on November 14? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 03:59 UTC

13 wallets hold $10 or more here. 7 of them have a positive Weather record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $50 or more, so the list starts at $10.

On Yes
0 wallets
Staked
$0
Avg paid
—
Now
3.6¢
On No
7 wallets
Staked
$141
Avg paid
92.4¢
Now
96.4¢
Wallets
Dollars
Yes

Nobody on this side in this list.

No
  • me…er$14 @ 95.3¢$0
    Weather +3.0¢ · 107 settled · 14 dLifetime −$828 · 1,738 settled
  • ca…48$13 @ 95.0¢$0
    Weather +1.4¢ · 499 settled · 14 dLifetime +$22.8K · 20,793 settled
  • HW…rn$12 @ 92.0¢+$1
    Weather +1.3¢ · 1,652 settled · 14 dLifetime +$925 · 3,702 settled

All 7, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 3.6 %chance
  • Yes 3.6¢ · No 96.4¢
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Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on November 14?: price, holders and their record · Polyrank