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Politics · Economy & the FedFedFOMC

Question

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Live

Yes
75.5 % chance
No
24.5 % chance
$9.4K
9

Trading opened Jul 30, 2026 00:54 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 9, 2026 23:59 UTC

Fed Decision in December? → all 5 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 75.5 %chance
  • Yes 75.5¢ · No 24.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

62.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
75.5¢
Yes price now
13.4¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
9
Smart money
5

Top holders

  • C…1Yes289,235
  • an…23No31,015
  • do…meNo26,741
  • si…anYes18,766
  • Bi…ggNo22,355

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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank