World · Middle EastIsrael military action against Lebanon
Question
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 27?
Live
Yes
70.0 % chance
No
30.0 % chance
$189.15
6
Trading opened Nov 5, 2026 15:04 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 28, 2026 04:59 UTC
Israel military action against Lebanon on...? → all 25 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 70.0 %chance
- Yes 70.0¢ · No 30.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
69.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
70.0¢
Yes price now
0.4¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
7
Smart money
5
Top holders
- To…owYes175
- bu…89No100
- ve…erNo55
- xt…meNo40
- ka…esYes20
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