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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 3%-6%?

Live

Yes
0.8 % chance
No
99.2 % chance
$2.1K
2

Trading opened Aug 7, 2026 14:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

AZ-02 House Election Margin of Victory → all 13 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.8 %chance
  • Yes 0.8¢ · No 99.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

4.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.8¢
Yes price now
3.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
1
Tagged holders
1

Top holders

  • pr…tyNo2,149
  • me…nmNo100
  • d…gNo60
  • xt…meYes204.8
  • Hi…ieYes1,500

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 3%-6%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank