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Politics · Economy & the FedFed Rates

Question

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?

Live

Yes
0.3 % chance
No
99.7 % chance
$284.48
9

Trading opened Jan 12, 2026 17:46 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? → all 15 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.3 %chance
  • Yes 0.3¢ · No 99.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

0.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.3¢
Yes price now
0.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
14
Smart money
8

Top holders

  • in…thNo2,062
  • Ho…ssNo523.8
  • go…26No483
  • Vi…axNo475.4
  • ba…arNo461.8

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Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank