Politics · Global elections
Question
Will the National Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Live · starts Nov 7 12:29 UTC
Yes
1.5 % chance
No
98.5 % chance
$258.69
7
Trading opened Apr 29, 2026 23:46 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 8, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.5 %chance
- Yes 1.5¢ · No 98.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
2.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.5¢
Yes price now
1.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
6
Smart money
4
Top holders
- Co…ysNo87.2
- Ad…stNo83
- po…07No70
- ka…78No70
- as…dfNo51.4
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