Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 16°C on November 14?

Live · started Nov 12 05:57 UTC

Yes

0.1 % chance

99.9 % chance

$2.4K

Trading opened Nov 12, 2026 05:57 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 14, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Chengdu on November 14? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 04:59 UTC

9 wallets hold $50 or more here. 5 of them have a positive Weather record.

On Yes

1 wallet

Staked: $56
Avg paid: 23.0¢
Now: 0.1¢

On No

4 wallets

Staked: $515
Avg paid: 81.1¢
Now: 100.0¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

Wr…ee$56 @ 23.0¢−$56
Weather +8.0¢ · 513 settled · 14 dLifetime +$21.0K · 13,843 settled

f0…00$194 @ 77.6¢+$56
Weather +2.2¢ · 21 settled · 14 dLifetime −$864 · 1,990 settled
0x…BB$151 @ 75.2¢+$50
Weather +1.3¢ · 1,612 settled · 14 dLifetime +$14.2K · 44,210 settled
ch…86$95 @ 97.0¢+$3
Weather +1.3¢ · 162 settled · 14 dLifetime +$703 · 225 settled

All 5, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

0.1 %chance
Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢

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