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World · Middle EastIsrael military action against Lebanon

Question

Israel military action against Lebanon on November 10?

Live

Yes
83.0 % chance
No
17.0 % chance
$151.32
5

Trading opened Nov 5, 2026 15:05 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 11, 2026 04:59 UTC

Israel military action against Lebanon on...? → all 25 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 83.0 %chance
  • Yes 83.0¢ · No 17.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

80.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
83.0¢
Yes price now
3.0¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
6
Smart money
4

Top holders

  • Ha…i.Yes135
  • xt…meNo80
  • ga…anNo38.3
  • Ek…amNo21.7
  • ye…tiYes6

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Israel military action against Lebanon on November 10? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank