World · Middle EastIsrael military action against Lebanon
Question
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 11?
Live
Yes
79.5 % chance
No
20.5 % chance
$135.35
9
Trading opened Nov 5, 2026 15:04 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 12, 2026 04:59 UTC
Israel military action against Lebanon on...? → all 25 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 79.5 %chance
- Yes 79.5¢ · No 20.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
81.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
79.5¢
Yes price now
2.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
14
Smart money
6
Top holders
- ka…esYes18.2
- ge…meYes14
- us…ngYes12.6
- et…erYes11.2
- P…TNo23
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