World · Middle EastIsrael military action against Lebanon
Question
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 8?
Live
Yes
87.5 % chance
No
12.5 % chance
$821.62
23
Trading opened Nov 5, 2026 15:04 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 9, 2026 04:59 UTC
Israel military action against Lebanon on...? → all 25 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 87.5 %chance
- Yes 87.5¢ · No 12.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
75.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
87.5¢
Yes price now
12.3¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
41
Smart money
15
Top holders
- Ha…i.Yes247.8
- Lu….7Yes212.3
- ve…erNo110
- Na…onNo123.1
- Jo…erYes41.3
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