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Politics · Economy & the FedFedFOMC

Question

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Live

Yes
2.6 % chance
No
97.4 % chance
$6.2K
19

Trading opened Jul 30, 2026 01:00 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 9, 2026 23:59 UTC

Fed Decision in December? → all 5 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 2.6 %chance
  • Yes 2.6¢ · No 97.4¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

2.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.6¢
Yes price now
0.6¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
21
Smart money
10

Top holders

  • do…meNo24,003
  • Bi…ggNo23,796
  • Vi…axNo15,643
  • ch…y3No13,339
  • pr…ngYes82,210

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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank