World · Middle EastIsrael military action against Lebanon
Question
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 17?
Live
Yes
84.0 % chance
No
16.0 % chance
$176.15
13
Trading opened Nov 5, 2026 15:04 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 18, 2026 04:59 UTC
Israel military action against Lebanon on...? → all 25 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 84.0 %chance
- Yes 84.0¢ · No 16.0¢
Loading the price chart…
- 1D · All: Loading…
Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
66.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
84.0¢
Yes price now
17.8¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
16
Smart money
9
Top holders
- To…owYes80
- xt…meNo84.1
- us…ngYes19.3
- ge…meYes16.6
- il…soNo19.3
See who's really positioned here
The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.
Create account to unlockNot affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.
Loading market…