Politics · US elections
Question
Newsom's Democratic nomination odds dip to 10% by December 31?
Live
Yes
57.0 % chance
No
43.0 % chance
$1.5K
12
Trading opened Nov 3, 2026 22:14 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Newsom's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 57.0 %chance
- Yes 57.0¢ · No 43.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
55.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
57.0¢
Yes price now
2.0¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
25
Tagged holders
10
Top holders
- 2…SNo208.3
- ea…seYes150
- xt…meNo133.9
- 17…12Yes111
- AnonymousNo111
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