Politics · Middle EastOilHormuz Transits (neg)
Question
Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?
Yes
0.9 % chance
No
99.1 % chance
$1.7K
8
Trading opened Oct 1, 2026 00:08 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 03:59 UTC
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of October? → all 7 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.9 %chance
- Yes 0.9¢ · No 99.1¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
2.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.9¢
Yes price now
1.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
7
Tagged holders
6
Top holders
- AnonymousNo1,500
- Vi…axNo482.6
- ba…arNo435.2
- qu…elNo237
- f…rYes2,550
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