Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 70°F or higher on November 14?

Live · started Nov 12 09:56 UTC

Yes

0.3 % chance

99.7 % chance

$209.37

Trading opened Nov 12, 2026 09:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 14, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in San Francisco on November 14? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

5 wallets hold $10 or more here. 3 of them have a positive Weather record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $50 or more, so the list starts at $10.

On Yes

0 wallets

Staked: $0
Avg paid: —
Now: 0.3¢

On No

3 wallets

Staked: $79
Avg paid: 99.6¢
Now: 99.8¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

Nobody on this side in this list.

yt…sd$29 @ 99.5¢$0
Weather +1.1¢ · 70 settled · 14 dLifetime −$435 · 198 settled
ci…es$20 @ 99.5¢$0
Weather +0.9¢ · 2,212 settled · 14 dLifetime −$500.0K · 188,445 settled
er…er$30 @ 99.7¢$0
Weather +0.2¢ · 443 settled · 14 dLifetime −$77 · 576 settled

All 3, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

0.3 %chance
Yes 0.3¢ · No 99.7¢

1D · All: Loading…

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