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Weather · ChengduChengdu Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 14?

Live · started Nov 12 05:57 UTC

Yes
1.6 % chance
No
98.4 % chance
$753.90
54

Trading opened Nov 12, 2026 05:57 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 14, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Chengdu on November 14? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 04:59 UTC

15 wallets hold $10 or more here. 12 of them have a positive Weather record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $50 or more, so the list starts at $10.

On Yes
0 wallets
Staked
$0
Avg paid
—
Now
1.6¢
On No
12 wallets
Staked
$250
Avg paid
97.5¢
Now
98.5¢
Wallets
Dollars
Yes

Nobody on this side in this list.

No
  • ba…ar$20 @ 97.7¢$0
    Weather +5.5¢ · 629 settled · 14 dLifetime +$438.9K · 52,222 settled
  • K7…cA$20 @ 97.1¢$0
    Weather +2.1¢ · 43 settled · 14 dLifetime +$65 · 297 settled
  • Da…-3$20 @ 97.6¢$0
    Weather +2.1¢ · 39 settled · 14 dLifetime +$76 · 298 settled

All 12, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 1.6 %chance
  • Yes 1.6¢ · No 98.4¢
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Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 14?: price, holders and their record · Polyrank