Politics · Economy & the FedFed Rates
Question
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?
Live
Yes
0.2 % chance
No
99.8 % chance
$324.63
11
Trading opened Jan 12, 2026 17:46 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? → all 15 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.2 %chance
- Yes 0.2¢ · No 99.8¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
11.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.2¢
Yes price now
11.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
15
Smart money
10
Top holders
- in…thNo2,408
- hi…kaYes2,084
- 12…siYes12,433
- ba…arNo850.9
- no…erNo516
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