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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 15%-18%?

Live

Yes
0.9 % chance
No
99.1 % chance
$366.97
2

Trading opened Aug 7, 2026 14:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

AZ-02 House Election Margin of Victory → all 13 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.9 %chance
  • Yes 0.9¢ · No 99.1¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

5.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.9¢
Yes price now
4.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
1
Tagged holders
1

Top holders

  • f…aNo608.4
  • pr…tyNo367.3
  • Dr…NLYes291
  • Bo…dyYes250
  • Lu…ysNo54.5

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 15%-18%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank