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Weather · ChicagoChicago Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on November 14?

Live · started Nov 12 07:56 UTC

Yes
0.7 % chance
No
99.3 % chance
$585.23
14

Trading opened Nov 12, 2026 07:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 14, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Chicago on November 14? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

9 wallets hold $10 or more here. 4 of them have a positive Weather record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $50 or more, so the list starts at $10.

On Yes
0 wallets
Staked
$0
Avg paid
—
Now
0.7¢
On No
4 wallets
Staked
$136
Avg paid
97.2¢
Now
99.4¢
Wallets
Dollars
Yes

Nobody on this side in this list.

No
  • ma…uu$17 @ 86.0¢+$3
    Weather +3.2¢ · 1,528 settled · 14 dLifetime +$1.4K · 5,587 settled
  • mu…er$40 @ 99.3¢$0
    Weather +1.4¢ · 291 settled · 14 dLifetime +$23.8K · 3,388 settled
  • ci…es$60 @ 99.3¢$0
    Weather +0.9¢ · 2,212 settled · 14 dLifetime −$500.0K · 188,445 settled

All 4, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.7 %chance
  • Yes 0.7¢ · No 99.3¢
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Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on November 14?: price, holders and their record · Polyrank