Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 14?

Live · started Nov 12 05:56 UTC

Yes

53.0 % chance

47.0 % chance

$470.39

Trading opened Nov 12, 2026 05:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 14, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 14? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

25 wallets hold $10 or more here. 13 of them have a positive Weather record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $50 or more, so the list starts at $10.

On Yes

5 wallets

Staked: $236
Avg paid: 47.9¢
Now: 53.0¢

On No

8 wallets

Staked: $229
Avg paid: 50.1¢
Now: 47.0¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

Si…73$13 @ 52.8¢$0
Weather +4.0¢ · 39 settled · 14 dLifetime −$608 · 1,916 settled
Anonymous$58 @ 44.3¢+$11
Weather +3.5¢ · 556 settled · 14 dLifetime +$61.1K · 1,691 settled
Or…51$100 @ 46.7¢+$13
Weather +3.5¢ · 24 settled · 14 dLifetime +$696 · 48 settled

ro…18$19 @ 44.9¢+$1
Weather +6.2¢ · 57 settled · 14 dLifetime −$23.9K · 10,724 settled
ha…h2$45 @ 48.0¢−$1
Weather +2.5¢ · 845 settled · 14 dLifetime +$3.9K · 1,852 settled
po…ly$12 @ 56.0¢−$2
Weather +2.2¢ · 166 settled · 14 dLifetime +$126 · 292 settled

All 13, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

53.0 %chance
Yes 53.0¢ · No 47.0¢

1D · All: Loading…

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